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Thread: Get ready for the cold

  1. #41

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    Scottychaos, I have a weather buddy up there that said he had a high,on the 18th and 19th, of around 7-8F. I don't know if his information was false or not, but that is what he said. Also, if you look at the link you posted - http://www.wunderground.com/history....alendar
    it shows that after Feb. 5th most of the days and nights are 5-15 degrees below average, whcih is what I was forecasting - highs going from above average in January to below average starting around Feb. 5th.Also don't forget that the cold snap isn't over yet. It shows for the 27th a low of 4F.

    Computer models continue to show a cold upper low moving over the Canadian maritimes. If this verified, places in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and even North and South Carolina could see some very cold air , even colder than the arctic outbreak in December. But, the models have been inconsistent, so it is very hard to say what will happen. My conclusion, Febuary will continue to remain below average for most of the eastern US, and a possible shot of very cold air is possible around The end of Febuary - early March. It will also be slightly above average in terms of snowfall for the Northeast, with the possibility of another big snowstorm around March 1, give or take a day or to.
    dewy
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  2. #42
    herenorthere's Avatar
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    Where is that weather buddy? Rochester isn't in NY's Arctic, but it isn't out in the tropics of Long Island either. If that weather buddy had a high of 7-8 on those days, it must be pretty typical for that spot and doesn't indicate unusual cold in the region. My mother-in-law used to live in Lake Placid and I remember shoveling her out the morning after a full Mother's Day of snow 10 years or so years ago and then driving through a couple seasons of the year before arriving in nearly 70 degree weather here in CT. New York is a surprisingly diverse place in every possible way.
    Bruce in CT

    Madness is something rare in individuals but in groups, parties, peoples, ages it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

  3. #43

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    Quote Originally Posted by [b
    Quote[/b] (herenorthere @ Feb. 21 2006,7:58)]Where is that weather buddy? Rochester isn't in NY's Arctic, but it isn't out in the tropics of Long Island either. If that weather buddy had a high of 7-8 on those days, it must be pretty typical for that spot and doesn't indicate unusual cold in the region. My mother-in-law used to live in Lake Placid and I remember shoveling her out the morning after a full Mother's Day of snow 10 years or so years ago and then driving through a couple seasons of the year before arriving in nearly 70 degree weather here in CT. New York is a surprisingly diverse place in every possible way.
    He is close to Niagra Falls.
    John 3:16
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  4. #44
    scottychaos's Avatar
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    The high for Niagara Falls on the 18th and 19th was 25 and 21.
    your friend was wrong..

    Niagara Falls

    Dewy,
    you were partially right in your prediction! [img]http://www.**********.com/iB_html/non-cgi/emoticons/new/smile.gif[/img]
    cold air from Alaska *has* in fact hit the North East US in February..
    you got that part right..
    its just not as deadly cold as you thought it would be.
    its just a typical Feburary around here..
    happens every year..nothing unusual at all.

    Scot

  5. #45

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    Quote Originally Posted by [b
    Quote[/b] (scottychaos @ Feb. 22 2006,7:51)]The high for Niagara Falls on the 18th and 19th was 25 and 21.
    your friend was wrong..

    Niagara Falls

    Dewy,
    you were partially right in your prediction! [img]http://www.**********.com/iB_html/non-cgi/emoticons/new/smile.gif[/img]
    cold air from Alaska *has* in fact hit the North East US in February..
    you got that part right..
    its just not as deadly cold as you thought it would be.
    its just a typical Feburary around here..
    happens every year..nothing unusual at all.

    Scot
    It didn't quite miss the US. On the 18th, Caribou, Maine had a high of 4F and a low of -4F. They also had a low of -11F on the 15th.
    http://www.weatherunderground.com/history....alendar

    Here are just a few record lows from various parts in the US I found.

    record Lows Mon Feb 6 2006
    Vero Beach FL 37F

    Record Lows Wed Feb 8 2006
    Vero Beach FL 40F tied 1951

    Record Lows Sat Feb 11th 2006
    Olympia WA 22F

    Record Lows Mon Feb 13th 2006
    Daytona Beach FL 29F
    Melbourne FL 32F
    Vero Beach FL 34F tied 1985

    Record Lows Thu Feb 16th 2006
    Delta UT -5F
    Lancaster CA 21F tied 1956
    Redding CA 23F
    Paso Robles CA 24F
    Red Bluff CA 25F
    Sacramento Airport CA 28F
    Oakland Airport CA 34F tied 1938
    Monterey CA 35F
    San Jose CA 37F tied 1912
    San Francisco CA 38F tied 1956
    Oakland CA 38F

    IN CANADA
    Lloydminster AB -33.2C - 28F

    Record Lows Fri Feb 17 2006

    Casper WY -32F **COLDEST EVER DURING FEBRUARY**
    Alliance NE -30F
    Chadron NE -28F
    Scottsbluff NE -20F tied 1993
    Sidney NE -19F
    Rawlins WY -14F tied 1993
    Denver CO -10F
    Santa Barbara Airport CA 33F tied 1975

    Record Lows Sat Feb 18th 2006

    Alliance NE -36F **COLDEST EVER DURING FEB **
    Chadron NE -33F
    Casper WY -31F
    Riverton WY -28F tied 1993
    Rhinelander WI -28F
    Marshfield WI -26F
    Rawlins WY -25F
    Worland WY -23F
    Scottsbluff NE -23F
    LaCrosse WI -21F
    Mason City IA -20F tied 1936
    Rochester MN -19F
    Waterloo IA -19F
    Dubuque IA -18F
    Rock Springs WY -18F
    Dillon MT -18F
    Laramie WY -16F tied 1969
    Denver CO -13F
    Yuma CO -11F
    Idaho Falls ID -5F tied 1956
    Goodland KS -4F tied 1942
    Islip NY 15F
    Eureka CA 30F

    Record Lows Sun Feb 19 2006

    Chadron NE -19F
    Casper WY -17F
    Alliance NE -16F tied 1936
    Dubuque IA -13F tied 1979
    Sidney NE -11F
    Rawlins WY -10F
    Worland WY -8F
    Yuma CO -7F
    Kalispell MT -6F tied 1960
    Burlington CO -5F tied 1929
    Colorado Springs CO -5F
    Rock Springs WY -5F
    Denver CO -4F
    Missoula MT -2F tied 1932
    Tribune KS -2F tied 1929
    Colby KS 0F tied 1929
    Hill City KS 3F tied 1955
    Yakima WA 7F
    Pendleton OR 8F
    Islip NY 13F
    Olympia WA 13F
    Salem OR 18F
    Eugene OR 18F
    Astoria OR 19F
    Abilene TX 19F tied 1936
    Portland OR 23F
    Redding CA 29F
    Eureka CA 29F

    These are just a few, as I don't want to take up a whole page on record lows. As you can see, many areas had record lows all over the US.

    Models continue to flip flop daily, so it is hard to say how cold the next blast will be. All I can say is the it will start around Feb. 25th and last about week. The eastern US should continue to expect normal to below normal highs.
    dewy
    John 3:16
    My grow list/want list
    Prior to the funeral home visit, we heard ~ "Hey'all watch this ! !"

  6. #46

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    Looks like a big winter storm might be shaping up for eastern parts of the Northeast. The GFS shows a classic low riding up the coast, with QPF amounts of about 1 inch. Looking at this, I think that a big snowstorm (at least 8 inches or more of snow) is possible around March 6-8th, somewhere in that time frame. It is still a little too early to tell snowfall amounts right now, but in a few days I will make some Preliminary snowfall estimates.

    March 7th.


    March 8th.


    March 8th.
    John 3:16
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    Prior to the funeral home visit, we heard ~ "Hey'all watch this ! !"

  7. #47

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    Well, computer models have once again flip flopped, and show the storm missing the NE, so it looks like no big snowstorm in the next few days, at least for the NE.
    dewy
    John 3:16
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    Prior to the funeral home visit, we heard ~ "Hey'all watch this ! !"

  8. #48
    herenorthere's Avatar
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    Enough with the cold forecasting: when can I expect the next rainy, 50+ degree night? I want to put my plants out for mother nature to water instead of me having to do it all the time.
    Bruce in CT

    Madness is something rare in individuals but in groups, parties, peoples, ages it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

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